Sunday, October 4, 2009

Week Three Playoff Picture

The Week Three playoff picture is much easier to figure out now that more teams have losses, and fewer tiebreakers are needed. In the AFC, the Steelers fall out of the playoffs and the Patriots slide in. It's the same six teams in the NFC as last week.

AFC Seedings
1. Jets (3-0)
2. Broncos (3-0)
3. Colts (3-0)
4. Ravens (3-0)
5. Chargers (2-1)
6. Patriots (2-1)

AFC Projections
Wild card
Colts 23, Patriots 13
It might not be fair, but a healthy Manning beats a rusty Brady
Ravens 27, Chargers 21
Putting trust in Norv Turner is a dangerous, risky proposition

Division
Ravens 17, Jets 16
Rex Ryan's old defense is fired up enough to fluster his new team
Colts 23, Broncos 10
Past playoff losses hurt Denver mentally in this one-sided "rivalry"

Conference
Colts 27, Ravens 20
Quiet home crowd helps Manning spread ball around for 300+ yards

NFC Seedings
1. Giants (3-0)
2. Vikings (3-0)
3. Saints (3-0)
4. 49ers (2-1)
5. Packers (2-1)
6. Falcons (2-1)

NFC Projections
Wild card
Falcons 28, Saints 27
Turner helps Atlanta control ball, provides two 1-yard touchdowns
Packers 16, 49ers 10
Absence of Gore too much for overwhelmed 49ers to overcome

Division
Giants 19, Falcons 14
Fast-rising receiving duo of Smith, Manningham provides boost
Vikings 20, Packers 13
Minnesota will pound the ball, and help Favre avoid key mistakes

Conference
Vikings 31, Giants 10
Harvin returns kickoff for TD, Minnesota avenges past playoff defeats

Super Bowl
Colts 17, Vikings 12
With six MVPs on the field, Division III's Garcon makes the big play

(Belated) Week Two Playoff Seedings

Although I figured out the playoff seedings almost immediately after Week Two ended, I completely failed in posting them. Better late than never, right? I didn't do my playoff projections until now, however, so I'll try to erase Week Three from my mind. For the curious, here are Week Two tiebreakers.

AFC Seedings
1. Jets (2-0)
2. Broncos (2-0)
3. Ravens (2-0)
4. Colts (2-0)
5. Steelers (1-1)
6. Chargers (1-1)

AFC Projections
Wild card
Ravens 23, Chargers 14
LT still sidelined, but Baltimore has three-headed rushing attack
Colts 19, Steelers 13
Vinatieri's leg gets another postseason workout with four FGs

Division
Colts 27, Jets 10
Manning has seen every defense in the book; Sanchez hasn't
Ravens 20, Broncos 7
Crowd doesn't appreciate Orton's three-INT performance

Championship
Ravens 21, Colts 18
Flacco spreads his postseason wings with 300 yards passing

NFC Seedings
1. Giants (2-0)
2. 49ers (2-0)
3. Vikings (2-0)
4. Falcons (2-0)
5. Saints (2-0)
6. Packers (1-1)

NFC Projections
Wild card
Saints 41, Falcons 28
Shockey, Gonzalez each score TD as defensive focus is elsewhere
Vikings 27, Packers 17
Peterson could have chance to break 300-yard rushing mark

Division
Saints 27, Giants 20
Manning doesn't have firepower to overcome crucial turnover
Vikings 20, 49ers 10
If Crabtree was playing instead of whining, 49ers would have shot

Conference
Saints 31, Vikings 17
Despite road game, dome is home-sweet-home for Brees

Super Bowl
Saints 31, Ravens 20
New Orleans has too many weapons for Lewis and Co. to cover