Sunday, September 20, 2009

Playoffs?!? Are you talking about playoffs?!?

Some publications are already producing MVP watch lists, which I think is kind of silly, but whatever. The real problem is that the MVP doesn't ultimately matter! The Super Bowl does, and that's why I will publish the playoff seedings every week as if the regular season had just ended. Just for fun, I'll predict the playoff results using those brackets and the team's current injury situation.

The first few weeks (especially this one) will be somewhat skewed because of tiebreakers (e.g. teams that win division games have a huge advantage). The league's tiebreaking procedures are here. I am including a link to the relevant tiebreakers, but let me know if you wonder why Team X qualified instead of Team Y. As a caveat, I certainly could make mistakes because many of the tiebreakers needed this early in the season are never actually used by the NFL.

AFC Seedings
1. Baltimore Ravens, 1-0 (AFC North champions)
2. San Diego Chargers, 1-0 (AFC West champions)
3. New England Patriots, 1-0 (AFC East champions)
4. Indianapolis Colts, 1-0 (AFC South champions)
5. New York Jets, 1-0 (Wild card)
6. Denver Broncos, 1-0 (Wild card)

AFC Projections
Wild card
Patriots 27, Broncos 10
Denver's fluke Week One win won't be repeated against Brady & Co.
Colts 20, Jets 16
Manning (three NFL MVPs) edges Sanchez (one NFL win) in experience

Division
Ravens 21, Colts 15
Bye week will give revamped Baltimore defense time to settle down
Chargers 34, Patriots 24
Sproles, healthy Tomlinson give New England linebackers trouble

Conference
Ravens 19, Chargers 17
Lewis tackles Rivers for safety with Super Bowl berth on the line

NFC Seedings
1. Seahawks, 1-0 (NFC West champions)
2. Packers, 1-0 (NFC North champions)
3. Giants, 1-0 (NFC East champions)
4. Saints, 1-0 (NFC South champions)
5. Eagles, 1-0 (Wild card)
6. Vikings, 1-0 (Wild card)

NFC Projections
Wild card
Vikings 31, Giants 20
Stout Minnesota defense doesn't let Jacobs, Bradshaw get rolling
Saints 35, Eagles 17
An injured McNabb would play, but not well, as Brees throws four TDs

Division
Vikings 23, Seahawks 14
Peterson runs for 150 yards, 2 TDs as Favre remains a game manager
Packers 31, Saints 30
Crosby exorcises demons with long field goal to win expected shootout

Conference
Packers 21, Vikings 18
Favre rattled in return to Lambeau Field, throws three INTs

Super Bowl
Ravens 23, Packers 14
Dangerous RB trio wears down Packers defense with 200 yards on ground

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